Euro pessimism drags on as the EU narrowly avoided a recession. ‘US excellence’ is very much alive after NFP, while the pound and yen could aid euro performance
Sterling has benefited from the Bank of England’s clear lack of urgency to move borrowing costs either way. In a data-light week that support will probably stick
The US dollar has benefitted from cooling Fed cut expectations and robust economic data. The greenback’s rise appears likely to continue in a data heavy week
Gold revealed its vulnerability to further selling as a result of renewed vigor from the dollar and US yields. Fed members warn markets about overly optimistic rate cut bets
The ECB policy meeting on Thursday is the ideal place for central bank President Christine Lagarde to start to outline a rate cut timetable. Trouble is the meeting will likely follow the familiar ‘let’s wait and see the data’ script.