New Zealand Dollar continues to coil just below critical technical resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the NZD/USD weekly chart heading into June.
A scenario of selective 2021 dollar weakness across G10FX is intact, but we can’t see a one-way trade and some currencies may temporarily retreat when the dollar bounces next, given positioning and moves year-to-date.
The optimism for recovery that’s priced in commodities is the risk for the rest of 2021, as we expect more of the same conditions from before the pandemic, favoring ones with low rather than high supply elasticity.
The Euro may fall if a pickup in inflation proves inadequate to inspire a rethink of ultra-dovish ECB policy. The US Dollar looks the ISM manufacturing survey for a lifeline.
The US Dollar is looking vulnerable again against most ASEAN currencies, with USD/SGD, USD/THB, USD/IDR and USD/PHP aiming to resume recent downtrends?