Data due at 1200 GMT, October 14

BENGALURU, Oct 10 Reuters India39;s retail inflation in September likely overshot the Reserve Bank of India39;s RBI 4 mediumterm target for the first time since July due to a persistent rise in vegetable prices and a lower yearago base, a Reuters poll found.

Food items, especially vegetables and other perishables, which make up a significant share of overall household spending in the country, saw an uptick in prices as heavy rains reduced the availability of essential crops.

A high base from last year, which helped bring down inflation in July and August, became a lower base last month, having the opposite effect.

The Oct. 39 Reuters poll of 48 economists predicted retail inflation as measured by the consumer price index CPI jumped to 5.04 in September from a year ago from 3.65 in August. Forecasts ranged from 3.60 to 5.40.

The data will be released on Oct. 14 at 1200 GMT.

September39;s reading will bear the brunt of a persistent spike in vegetable prices, especially tomatoes and onions …. Even edible oil prices are witnessing momentum due to an increase in international prices. All these concomitantly might put upside pressure on headline inflation, said Dipanwita Mazumdar, an economist at Bank of Baroda.

Further, in terms of the statistical base as well, Q3 doesn39;t have an advantage, she added.

A separate Reuters poll showed inflation averaging 4.6 this quarter and 4.5 this fiscal year, above the central bank39;s 4 target….