JAKARTA, Nov 13 Reuters Indonesia39;s growth and portfolio investment could be hit if planned policies of U.S. Presidentelect Donald Trump disrupt global trade and make it harder to cut interest rates, bankers at staterun lenders told a parliamentary hearing on Wednesday.
A U.S.China trade war could take around 0.2 percentage points off Indonesia39;s economic growth next year, and even more if other countries followed suit, said Sunarso, the president director of Bank Rakyat Indonesia BRI.
That39;s why we must be careful if the U.S. becomes protective and China also responds with a trade war like the last one, the impact will be quite significant on us, Sunarso, who uses a single name, told the parliamentary hearing.
Both China and the United States are major trade markets for Indonesia.
BRI, the country39;s secondlargest by assets, had forecast economic growth of 4.95.2 next year, but Sunarso said that could drop to 4.64.9 if a wider trade war developed.
Darmawan Junaidi, the chief executive of top lender Bank Mandiri, said a trade war could affect global commodity prices, which often move according to demand from China. Indonesia is a major exporter of palm oil, coal, nickel, tin and rubber.
Trump has proposed a 10 tariff on all U.S. imports and 60 on Chinesemade products, which along with other planned fiscally expansive policies have raised some concerns for markets and analysts about inflation and future rate cuts.
Bank Negara Indonesia said the incoming…