BERLIN, Jan 21 Reuters About 80 of German businesses who trade overseas expect a further decline in sales this year, Germany39;s BGA trade association said on Tuesday, forecasting a 2.7 decline in turnover compared with 2024.
The outlook for 2025 is bleak, said BGA president Dirk Jandura. Small and medium enterprises have lost their trust in politics.
Another risk for the German economy is the tariffs promised by U.S. President Donald Trump, measures he says would boost U.S. manufacturing.
Jandura said Germany and the EU will have to wait to see what steps Trump takes. I advise no panic, evaluate calmly and build up a reasonable, strong counterposition.
He added that Trump is a pragmatic person, who knows that if tariffs were to come, there would be losses of prosperity in the U.S. within a few months, because imports would become dramatically more expensive.
Germany will hold elections on Feb. 23, and how to revive anaemic growth in Europe39;s biggest economy is one of the main topics in the election campaign.
Jandura said German foreign trade was always a reliable anchor for the economy but now the slowdown in the sector will take its toll in the labour market. According to the survey, 30 of the companies are planning job cuts.
Orders are dropping, investment is declining and insolvencies are increasing, he said.
According to the BGA survey, 36 of the companies in the sector invested less in 2024 than in the previous year.
Without a turnaround in economic…