LONDON, July 18 Reuters Sterling surged against a weakening U.S. dollar on Monday as markets scaled back some of their bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes, but the UK currency39;s rally was capped by political risks and persistent recession fears in Britain.

Sterling touched a more than twoyear low of 1.1761 on Thursday, but driven mainly by dollar weakness the pound was up 0.6 to 1.1944, at 0855 GMT, after touching its lowest since March 2020. Against the euro, sterling edged up 0.3 to 84.76 pence.

The greenback retreated after several Federal Reserve officials signalled they did not favour stepping up the pace of rate hikes.

The U.S. dollar is on the back foot this morning as fears of a 100 bps rate hike from the Fed recede and risk appetite improves. This has provided some support for cable, said Jane Foley, Head of FX Strategy at Rabobank London.

But political uncertainty and recession fears will continue to weigh on the pound, traders said.

The five Conservative contenders vying to be Britain39;s next prime minister clashed over tax cuts in a second televised debate on Sunday, with the two frontrunners Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss stepping up their battle on the economy. 

Foley said investors will be watching closely this weeks UK Financial Services bill in the hope that greater incentives to investors will not be destabilised by any undue move away from regulatory prudence.

The focus will turn to UK data later in the week, with jobs and inflation figures…